CHART: Crypto election markets and polls show very different odds
On Monday, Donald Trump’s odds of US election victory were 66% on crypto-friendly Polymarket but just 48% on The Hill. What gives?
Results for Polymarket
59 stories, newest first
— Polymarket, Trump
Pro-Trump whale Fredi9999 is shifting Polymarket odds
Fredi9999 has transacted over $73M worth of mostly pro-Donald Trump bets and currently has $12M on the line for the election on November 5.
Who is Len Sassaman, Polymarket’s top bet for Satoshi?
Polymarket users are betting that deceased cypherpunk Len Sassaman will be revealed as Satoshi Nakamoto in HBO's documentary.
Threadguy shouts one question at Trump, Polymarket calls it an interview
Polymarket confirmed that Threadguy's 50-word exchange with Trump was an interview, settling a bet made after a hasty $25,000 NFT purchase.
— Crypto, Polymarket
Did a Polymarket trader rig election odds for a side bet?
Commentators have accused a Polymarket trader of attempting to manipulate the US election market in order to win a bet on a side-market.
— CFTC, Polymarket
Prediction markets like Polymarket triple despite US ‘ban’
Polymarket has promised the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that it will never allow US residents to wager using its platform.
Polymarket bet settled as Biden becomes second world leader to lose to a lettuce
Biden, like former UK prime minister Liz Truss, was outlasted by a lettuce after announcing his withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race.
Crypto prediction market says Binance has 12% chance of insolvency by 2024
The wager on decentralized crypto prediction market Polymarket has so far seen more than $11k in trades placed.
— Crypto, Polymarket
Crypto is betting on the missing Titan sub and it’s looking bearish
A crypto wager on Polymarket reveals that the market thinks there's only an 8% chance that the Titan sub will be found by June 23.