— Polymarket, Prediction Markets
This bot only bets ‘No’ on Polymarket, and its creator keeps losing money
A bot that only bets No on Polymarket event contracts keeps losing money, even though 73% of contracts actually resolve that way.
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— Polymarket, Prediction Markets
A bot that only bets No on Polymarket event contracts keeps losing money, even though 73% of contracts actually resolve that way.
Kalshi’s former lawyer now helps the US Department of Justice in lawsuits that cushion Kalshi from criminal lawsuits by state regulators.
— Israel, Polymarket
Polymarket users reportedly threatened to kill an Israel-based journalist after his Iranian missile report threatened several large wagers.
Nigel Farage aide George Cottrell bet $41K that a US-Iran ceasefire won't happen until late June, contradicting Reform UK's current stance.
— Kalshi, Polymarket
Polymarket currently has open assassination markets on its website and they’re some of the most heavily traded markets on the platform.
— Kalshi, Polymarket
Polymarket and Kalshi are popular in the cryptocurrency industry, but neither is truly "decentralized" like other projects.
Polymarket trades about the next supreme leader of Iran illustrate the wild gambles that crypto traders are willing to make.
Kalshi apparently allowed traders to bet on Ali Khamenei's ousting, racked up $54M in trades, then voided the result when he was killed.
— Axiom, Polymarket
Crypto sleuth ZachXBT suggested that his Axiom investigation may lead to legal proceedings against the alleged insider trading group.
Polymarket quietly sunsetted one of its two de facto subsidies for quants adding liquidity to lure retail ‘taker’ orders.