— CFTC, Derivatives
Did insiders short oil before Trump backed down on Iran?
As bewildered commodity bulls try to explain the relatively moderate price of oil, skeptics point to a Donald Trump-linked CFTC intervention.
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US jobs data revised lower after Fed rate hike
In September, 16 of 18 Fed members expected to raise interest rates, even as the payrolls data they cited just shrank by a third.
— AI, Hedge funds
Leopold Aschenbrenner is back to losing money in AI stocks
CNBC revealed on Friday that Leopold Aschenbrenner was buying AI equities again. By Monday, every one of his six stocks was falling.
Forget crypto or AI, oil tanker ETF BWET is up 5,100%
The next-best-performing ETFs rank far below BWET on a year-to-date basis and derive their gains from levering-up single stock performance.
Donald Trump has a gas problem
Two years of Donald Trump gasoline forecasts, from "$2 a gallon" on his campaign trail to a record $4.15 gas price on Labor Day.
Lumber is down 35% since crypto started trading it
After crypto speculators flocked to a momentum trade of lumber in 2021, a check on the current price reveals the folly of crowd psychology.
‘Dear God’: Japan’s borrowing costs hit 30-year high
As 30-year Japanese bond yields reached their highest level in decades, a market data vendor gasped at the government’s cost to borrow.
The slow-motion ‘bank run’ in private credit
Crypto has exacerbated the problems of private credit, extending leverage and rehypothecation risk across increasingly risky loan books.
How bombing Iran shifted oil and bitcoin prices
The price of oil relative to BTC during key news events might be one of the most interesting chart studies of the Iran war.
Bitcoin outperforms gold and oil in first days of US-Iran war
Curiously, BTC has demonstrated relative strength among trillion-dollar assets since the onset of the Iran war.