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Results for Trump, Polymarket

10 stories, newest first

Jan 30 — Kalshi, Polymarket

The Context 158: 🎰 Gambling on Trump

Under Trump's administration you can gamble on what it will do via prediction markets advised by and which financially benefit Trump.

Reform UK insider George Cottrell tied to Trump Polymarket bets worth millions

ZachXBT has identified a Donald Trump Polymarket whale as key Nigel Farage adviser and convicted fraudster, George Cottrell.

Oct 10, 2025 — Nobel Peace Prize, Polymarket

Polymarket traders accused of ‘insider trading’ Nobel Peace Prize

Polymarket traders elevated the odds of María Corina Machado winning the Nobel Peace Prize hours before her award was announced.

Sep 2, 2025 — Kalshi, Polymarket

Crypto prediction markets open ‘Trump out’ bet amid death rumors

Crypto prediction markets are already taking bets on Trump being “out as president” after a week of speculation on his death.

Mar 20, 2025 — Polymarket, Trump

Crypto gamblers debate fart while Trump releases hot air

What might be the sound of a fart let loose after Donald Trump's Digital Asset Summit speech has turned into a controversial crypto bet.

Jan 15, 2025 — Politics, Polymarket

What are the odds Donald Trump frees Ross Ulbricht?

Crypto traders are placing bets that heavily favor the odds that Ross Ulbricht will earn a prison release from Donald Trump by May.

Nov 6, 2024 — Politics, Polymarket

Trump discovered he was winning via Polymarket, says CEO

Prediction market Polymarket was the election bellwether for many in the crypto community despite it often contradicting mainstream polls.

Oct 29, 2024 — Kalshi, Kamala Harris

CHART: Crypto election markets and polls show very different odds

On Monday, Donald Trump’s odds of US election victory were 66% on crypto-friendly Polymarket but just 48% on The Hill. What gives?

Oct 17, 2024 — Polymarket, Trump

Pro-Trump whale Fredi9999 is shifting Polymarket odds

Fredi9999 has transacted over $73M worth of mostly pro-Donald Trump bets and currently has $12M on the line for the election on November 5.

Sep 23, 2024 — Polymarket, Threadguy

Threadguy shouts one question at Trump, Polymarket calls it an interview

Polymarket confirmed that Threadguy's 50-word exchange with Trump was an interview, settling a bet made after a hasty $25,000 NFT purchase.