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Nigel Farage aide George Cottrell bets US war will last four more months

Nigel Farage aide George Cottrell bet $41K that a US-Iran ceasefire won’t happen until late June, contradicting Reform UK’s current stance.

Assassination markets are legal now but Trump doesn’t have to worry

Polymarket currently has open assassination markets on its website and they’re some of the most heavily traded markets on the platform.

Polymarket and Kalshi are popular in the cryptocurrency industry, but neither is truly “decentralized” like other projects.

Polymarket trades about the next supreme leader of Iran illustrate the wild gambles that crypto traders are willing to make.

Kalshi apparently allowed traders to bet on Ali Khamenei’s ousting, racked up $54M in trades, then voided the result when he was killed.