CHART: Crypto election markets and polls show very different odds
On Monday, Donald Trump’s odds of US election victory were 66% on crypto-friendly Polymarket but just 48% on The Hill. What gives?
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On Monday, Donald Trump’s odds of US election victory were 66% on crypto-friendly Polymarket but just 48% on The Hill. What gives?
Read more (3 min) →— Polymarket, Trump
Fredi9999 has transacted over $73M worth of mostly pro-Donald Trump bets and currently has $12M on the line for the election on November 5.
— Crypto, Polymarket
Commentators have accused a Polymarket trader of attempting to manipulate the US election market in order to win a bet on a side-market.
— CFTC, Polymarket
Polymarket has promised the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that it will never allow US residents to wager using its platform.